Welcome to week 3 of the NFL season. There have been big wins, bad beats and a lot of great games. Plus, we’re rolling at 22-10 on the year in picks. We’ll use ESPN Pigskin Pick’em where I’m in the 99.1 percentile through 32 games. You’re going to want to read this column to put some money in your pocket.
I’ll first do my lock of the century. This is my no-lose can’t-lose wouldn’t dream of losing pick. Then I’ll write blurbs about 2 other confident picks. Then share the rest of my picks below. Once again, these are ESPN lines listed on their site. The team I pick will be in bold.
Lock of the Century
1. Carolina Panthers @ ARIZONA CARDINALS (+2.5)
The Cardinals are an extremely frisky team, just ask the Ravens and the Lions this year. This team never seems to quit when they easily could. They were down big to the Lions to come back and tie up the game, and end in a tie. Then, they were +13.5 @ the Ravens, and lost by 6. They had quite a few people sweating out the game who had the Ravens in their eliminator pool. Also, Kingsbury missed some great opportunities last week when he had the team kick 3 FGs inside the 5-yard line. I expect them to bounce back against a Panthers team without Cam Newton. Lock it up!
2. DENVER BRONCOS @ Green Bay Packers (-7.5)
A lot of people have written off Denver after a 0-2 start and that’s understandable. But, that also means we can get a -7.5 line which is amazing value. In Denver’s first week, they played against an Oakland team that was coming off a roller-coaster Antonio Brown week and was destined to prove something. Plus, it was the last Monday night game at the Oakland Coliseum. Then, at home, Trubisky leads a come back drive for a last-second 53-yard field goal to win the game. Helped by a questionable roughing the passer call on Bradley Chubb that looked extremely light to me. The Broncos could easily be 1-1 which would make this line -4.5 GB. I also don’t fully trust the Packers. They’ve started 2-0, but are we just going to ignore that Aaron Rodgers may be past his prime? In a pass-happy league, he’s only thrown for 412 yards and has a 39.5 QBR. I wouldn’t put money on the Broncos to win, but I like them to cover at +7.5.
3. DETROIT LIONS @ Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5)
I’m going to ride another road dog in this matchup. The Eagles are coming off a tough loss on Sunday night to the Falcons where they lost multiple skill position players to injury including Alshon Jefferey and De’Sean Jackson. It will be tougher for the Eagles to move the ball given the injuries they have dealt with. Their QB, Carson Wentz also had to come out of the game due to injury, and Zach Ertz was banged up with a rib injury as well. This team is limping into this game and that will make it a tighter game than a touchdown. On the Lions side, they have actually looked really good at times this year. They nearly beat a Cardinals team on the road and then beat the Chargers at home. They are undefeated on the year, 1 win and 1 tie. They have surprised a few people this year and I expect them to do enough to keep this within a touchdown.
Rest of the week
Atlanta Falcons @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-2.5)
CINCINNATI BENGALS @ Buffalo Bills (-6.5)
Miami Dolphins @ DALLAS COWBOYS (-21.5)
Baltimore Ravens @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-6.5)
OAKLAND RAIDERS @ Minnesota Vikings (-7.5)
New York Jets @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-22.5)
NEW YORK GIANTS @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5)
New Orleans Saints @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-5.5)
PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ San Francisco 49ers. (-6.5)
Houston Texans @ LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-3.5)
LOS ANGELES RAMS @ Cleveland Browns (+2.5)
CHICAGO BEARS @ Washington Redskins (+4.5)